Next Gameweek PredictionsPremier LeagueGW 38

Dixon-Coles model · expected goals and outcome probabilities

Sat 22 Aug

BrentfordBRE1.83

vs

Tottenham HotspurTOT1.36

48%

24%

28%

CS: 26%CS: 16%

Sat 22 Aug

Ipswich TownIPS0.91

vs

SunderlandSUN1.59

21%

27%

52%

CS: 20%CS: 40%

Sat 22 Aug

Nottingham ForestNFO1.58

vs

Leeds UnitedLEE1.16

46%

27%

27%

CS: 31%CS: 21%

Sat 22 Aug

EvertonEVE1.21

vs

Crystal PalaceCRY1.01

40%

31%

29%

CS: 36%CS: 30%

Sun 23 Aug

Manchester CityMCI2.23

vs

AFC BournemouthBOU0.91

67%

20%

13%

CS: 40%CS: 11%

Sun 23 Aug

Brighton & Hove AlbionBHA1.52

vs

Aston VillaAVL1.35

40%

27%

33%

CS: 26%CS: 22%

Sun 23 Aug

Newcastle UnitedNEW1.57

vs

LiverpoolLIV1.74

34%

25%

41%

CS: 18%CS: 21%

Mon 24 Aug

FulhamFUL1.32

vs

ChelseaCHE1.39

35%

27%

38%

CS: 25%CS: 27%

Fri 28 Aug

Crystal PalaceCRY0.90

vs

Manchester CityMCI1.82

18%

24%

58%

CS: 16%CS: 41%

Sat 29 Aug

Tottenham HotspurTOT1.61

vs

Newcastle UnitedNEW1.65

37%

25%

38%

CS: 19%CS: 20%