Fixture Difficulty Rating
Dixon-Coles model · upcoming fixture difficulty by expected goals and clean sheet probability
| Team | GW 1 | GW 2 | GW 3 | GW 4 | GW 5 | GW 6 | GW 7 | GW 8 | GW 9 | GW 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Bournemouth | LIV (A) 1.18 | CHE (H) 1.49 | SUN (A) 1.18 | MUN (H) 1.50 | — | ARS (H) 0.94 | EVE (A) 1.21 | MCI (H) 1.08 | BRE (A) 1.33 | NEW (H) 1.57 |
| Arsenal | BHA (H) 1.95 | EVE (A) 1.56 | NFO (H) 1.96 | LEE (A) 1.84 | TOT (H) 2.27 | BOU (A) 1.70 | AVL (H) 1.94 | — | SUN (H) 1.81 | CHE (A) 1.60 |
| Aston Villa | TOT (H) 1.86 | MCI (A) 0.96 | NEW (H) 1.66 | BRE (A) 1.41 | CRY (A) 1.36 | — | ARS (A) 0.84 | BHA (H) 1.60 | NFO (A) 1.36 | — |
| Brentford | CHE (A) 1.30 | — | LIV (A) 1.23 | AVL (H) 1.57 | MCI (A) 0.94 | FUL (H) 1.60 | LEE (H) 1.77 | TOT (A) 1.54 | BOU (H) 1.63 | SUN (A) 1.23 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | ARS (A) 0.80 | LIV (H) 1.42 | CRY (A) 1.29 | SUN (H) 1.41 | NFO (H) 1.54 | EVE (A) 1.22 | CHE (H) 1.49 | AVL (A) 1.27 | — | LEE (A) 1.44 |
| Chelsea | BRE (H) 1.71 | BOU (A) 1.42 | EVE (H) 1.55 | TOT (A) 1.60 | LIV (A) 1.27 | MCI (H) 1.16 | BHA (A) 1.38 | FUL (H) 1.66 | — | ARS (H) 1.02 |
| Crystal Palace | LEE (H) 1.42 | NEW (A) 1.10 | BHA (H) 1.27 | NFO (A) 1.07 | AVL (H) 1.26 | MUN (A) 1.05 | MCI (A) 0.76 | EVE (H) 1.20 | IPS (A) 1.70 | FUL (H) 1.29 |
| Everton | IPS (A) 1.61 | ARS (H) 0.75 | CHE (A) 0.99 | — | FUL (A) 1.03 | BHA (H) 1.21 | BOU (H) 1.25 | CRY (A) 1.02 | TOT (H) 1.40 | MUN (A) 1.00 |
| Fulham | MUN (A) 1.13 | — | — | IPS (H) 2.16 | EVE (H) 1.29 | BRE (A) 1.19 | SUN (H) 1.25 | CHE (A) 1.11 | LIV (H) 1.26 | CRY (A) 1.14 |
| Ipswich Town | EVE (H) 0.93 | NFO (A) 0.83 | MCI (H) 0.70 | FUL (A) 0.84 | LEE (H) 1.10 | NEW (A) 0.85 | MUN (H) 0.97 | SUN (A) 0.76 | CRY (H) 0.99 | LIV (A) 0.77 |
| Leeds United | CRY (A) 1.16 | SUN (H) 1.27 | MUN (A) 1.14 | ARS (H) 0.85 | IPS (A) 1.83 | LIV (H) 1.27 | BRE (A) 1.20 | NFO (H) 1.38 | NEW (A) 1.19 | BHA (H) 1.37 |
| Liverpool | BOU (H) 2.07 | BHA (A) 1.68 | BRE (H) 2.09 | MCI (A) 1.20 | CHE (H) 1.96 | LEE (A) 1.89 | NFO (A) 1.69 | NEW (H) 2.07 | FUL (A) 1.71 | IPS (H) 3.19 |
| Manchester City | SUN (A) 1.68 | AVL (H) 2.14 | IPS (A) 2.89 | LIV (H) 2.00 | BRE (H) 2.25 | CHE (A) 1.77 | CRY (H) 2.17 | BOU (A) 1.88 | MUN (H) 2.14 | — |
| Manchester United | FUL (H) 1.67 | TOT (A) 1.61 | LEE (H) 1.84 | BOU (A) 1.43 | — | CRY (H) 1.66 | IPS (A) 2.20 | — | MCI (A) 0.98 | EVE (H) 1.56 |
| Newcastle United | — | CRY (H) 1.70 | AVL (A) 1.41 | — | SUN (A) 1.31 | IPS (H) 2.69 | TOT (H) 1.96 | LIV (A) 1.32 | LEE (H) 1.89 | BOU (A) 1.47 |
| Nottingham Forest | — | IPS (H) 2.25 | ARS (A) 0.74 | CRY (H) 1.42 | BHA (A) 1.19 | SUN (H) 1.31 | LIV (H) 1.31 | LEE (A) 1.33 | AVL (H) 1.40 | TOT (A) 1.38 |
| Sunderland | MCI (H) 0.84 | LEE (A) 1.12 | BOU (H) 1.23 | BHA (A) 1.00 | NEW (H) 1.22 | NFO (A) 1.00 | FUL (A) 1.01 | IPS (H) 1.89 | ARS (A) 0.62 | BRE (H) 1.24 |
| Tottenham Hotspur | AVL (A) 1.30 | MUN (H) 1.54 | — | CHE (H) 1.52 | ARS (A) 0.81 | — | NEW (A) 1.35 | BRE (H) 1.62 | EVE (A) 1.24 | NFO (H) 1.57 |